Tournament starts with qualifying on Monday, 5.03.2018.
Draw ceremony for ATP event is scheduled for Tuesday, March 6, starting at 3.00 pm local time (add 9 hours for Vienna time = midnight between Tuesday and Wednesday)
Thiem will be seeded 5. (Nadal pulled out), 6. will be del Potro (David Goffin pulled out), 7. Anderson, 8. Sock).
So Thiem can meet Delpo or Anderson first in QF, Zverev or Dimitrov first in SF and Federer or Cilic first in the final, but it depends of course of the half of the draw, in which Thiem will be drawn. So 1 Angstgegner (Goffin) is not there, another 2 (Anderson or Delpo) first in QF, first 4 are not his Angstgegners 😉
For first round I predict Sandgren, for second Verdasco, for third Isner and for 4. round Schwartzman. Well, of course I’m kidding 😉
Thanks to @Anna we have these links to see Dominic training in Indian Wells 🙂
Updated 5.03.2018, 14:47
And once again from @Anna – new Dominic’s gear from Adidas for Double Sunshine
Should be good when playing “Angstgegners” 😉 And Dominic looks good in contrasting colors (black, red, white, dark blue)
Bresnik interview before Indian Wells
(Original article in German you can find HERE)
Both quarter-final defeats came against later finalists: In Brazil, Thiem was surprisingly defeated by Fernando Verdasco of Spain 4-6,0-6 in Brazil, and Juan Martin Del Potro was sure to win the title in Mexico. If Thiem wants to add to his position in the Race to London and push his way up from twelfth place in the ranking, then a good result in the coming weeks would be important.
Bresnik:”Thiem’s showing in the match against Del Potro was optimal .”
Günter Bresnik, who will be flying to Miami for the tournament at the end of next week, judges Thiems’ past performances with mixed feelings. The outcome of the tournament victory in Buenos Aires cannot be neglected. “Everyone knows that he can play better”, said Bresnik. Thiem did not play well in the match against Verdasco in Rio either. “I liked the match against Del Potro very much. Apart from the tennis itself, this has been one of the best matches I’ve ever seen. In terms of appearance, this was ideal “, Bresnik praised the attitude of his pupil. “That he didn’t win is a downer, but I don’t get upset about matches like this at all.”
Thiem has to defend a quarter-finals presence in 2017 at the “desert tournament” in California. A year ago, the now owner of 9 titles had only just failed 6:7 in the third set at the Swiss Stan Wawrinka. “I don’t care about points. There are matches that he has lost while playing well, and there are matches that he has won but played poor. Few people can judge this correctly, said Bresnik.
Bresnik has no doubt, that Thiem is currently not playing his optimal tennis. But he has certain qualities being so good that he can still win when some things are not there, added Bresnik. Physically Thiem is “really good”. Bresnik sent sports scientist Michael Reinprecht to California for further training. The slightly longer break between Acapulco and the first match Thiems (Saturday or Sunday because of BYE) should be used. In addition, Indian Wells offers particularly good training opportunities, says Bresnik.
The draw is out. HERE you can see the best his potential way over the tournament.
It’s now all in his hands (or maybe rather his feet?). If he can play well (like against Shapovalov in Acapulco), he can go deep.
BYE>Tsitsipas>Shapovalov>Berdych/Chung>Federer>Dimitrov/Kyrgios/Anderson>Sascha Zverev/Del Potro/Cilic
IMO the most probable:
Good prospects for exciting matches.
I have seen on ATP website QF prediction and Thiem is there playing Federer. No “Angstgegners” under way. Should Anderson overcome Dimitrov/Kyrgios (we don’t know about form of everyone – the last time form does not tell much – it’s changing from tournament to tournament), he would be the first one, bus this would be SEMIFINAL. Good enough to come so deep.
Federer – well, this is of course a big challenge for everyone, but not Angstgegner! Thiem never won against Federer on hard court. But has a paper advantage of leading record (2:1) and maybe Federer’s Angstgegner, if in top form and on healthy feet 🙂 Kyrgios nice to play but Kyrgios is more incosistent than Thiem, so very difficult to predict. Cilic in the final – still within the reach.
We will know more after the first match – not if he wins, but how he can play (the most important, if his feet issue is resolved).
First match (probably Saturday/Sunday) against Tsitsipas prediction: Thiem wins 7:5, 6:4
Updated 7.08.2018, 7:56
BTW – our friend Sandgren has Basilashvili>Ferrer>Delpo>Djokovic>Cilic so maybe let him repeat AO and eliminate Delpo under way, so there are no more Angstgegners for Thiem in the draw – then only Sandgren 😉
Updated 7.03.2018, 8:13
Thiem will play doubles as well (thanks @Anna for telling), together with Philipp Petzschner. Of course no chances to go through first round against Jamie Murray and Bruno Soares, so maybe only to get used with the court. But – this will be for sure not one of the main courts, where he will probably play all his singles matches. So a kind of warm-up? I’m skeptical about Dominic’s doubles appearances. Be it only because serving is completely different (another position to serve from) than in singles. Well, still a touch of a competition 🙂
Updated 8.03.2018, 6:49
Today about 22.00 Vienna time there is a match between Radu Albot and Stefanos Tsitsipas. One of them is the first Dominic’s opponent. The match is streamed on TennisTV and as always a free stream on www.batmanstream.net.
Updated 8.03.2018, 18:44
Thiem practice in IW with Rublev. Only short video 🙁
Updated 8.03.2018. 20:23
Tsitsipas won first round as expected and is Dominic’s first opponent for tomorrow (not sure, but upper half mostly start first and upper half was playing first round yesterday). Today about 22.00 our time Dominic plays doubles. On court no. 5. This story never ends – he gets the worst time and court to play. Well – that’s only another kind of training and he is not American. But opponents are still ranked high in doubles. This is still some good hint for Dominic – he must simply start to win big titles 🙂
Thiem’s presser in Indian Wells:
And I’m really impressed with his growing confidence in interviews 🙂 And his next level English 🙂 I guess the first founded on the second.
This here (with Hyeon Chung) looks better (I mean footwork) – cannot see too much on such a short video
Updated 9.03.2018, 14:34
Well, it’s still time (not much now) for kidding 🙂
BNP Paribas Open Notebook: Thursday, March 8
Imitation is the greatest form of flattery (or not)
Let’s see, hopefully in 3-rd round 🙂 First Domi must go through Stef and Denis through Pablo – ALL 4 SINGLE-HANDED-BACKHANDERS !!! Actually a big SHBH-contest and what a pity – after round 3. only one of them will survive 🙁
Updated 9.03.2018, 17:18
Doubles with Petzschner vs. Murray/Soares
Only watched to see, how Dominic moves and if he looks fresh.
Click the image and look for ThiemDoublesIndianWells
IMO Thiem moves well – no signs of feet problems. serving well, looking fresh and fit. This is all we need for tomorrow. I have watched a bit of Tsitsipas vs. Albot – Tsitsipas not in a big form, making lots of errors and pressure from Albot was not close to the one Tsitsipas must expect from Dominic 🙂
Updated 9.03.2018, 23:49
So it’s TODAY, 20.00 Vienna time, first match on Center Court. Thanks, Tommy Haas 🙂 First time since ages Dominic starts on Center Court and the time is perfect. On a cool day Dominic will play at 24°C.
Match prediction (once more): Thiem wins 7:5, 6:4
Dominic Thiem just turning a MEDIA EXPERT 🙂
and happy while playing doubles 🙂
GOOD MOOD 🏋😎🌴😍🖕🌞🎾🏆
HAPPY THIEM CAN EVEN SPEAK WITH MEDIA – THANKS KIKI 👸💏💕
SINGLE-HANDED BACKHAND FESTIVAL in only one section of the draw
Very little hype about Dominic choosing between Roger and Rafa 😉
Respect Stef. Good plan B in the second set together with a down of Dominic, turning impatient and not applying necessary changes – looked like there was again no plan B. In the third set Thiem was back at plan A and it worked again. The match was thrilling and exciting, maybe not the highest level, but such are matches in first round between faves and underdogs.
IMO the backup plan for Dominic after Stef changed his plan in the second set should have been to stay a bit back behind the baseline to have time to give his shots good shape and depth and make rallies longer. Stef would probably not be able to go through such longer rallies. Anyway Dominic must take care in next match(es) to have such a plan and to use it.
Well, look yourself, how it went 🙂
Click the image and look in the folder for ThiemTsitsipasIW to watch the whole match record. Wait for the record to be uploaded – should be done by 23.00
Who’s next? For sure an SHBHer, just fighting – Shapovalov or Cuevas. I expect Shapovalov to prevail.
Updated 10.03.2018, 22:25
If you have no time to watch the whole match, watch last set. The best in the match. And Thiem first playing like we expect him to do. Lots of excellent rallies and shots. From both, but from Dominic more. Playing like in the third set, Dominic can go deep. It’s his weakness (but there are many to have it) to lose focus if the first set is going actually without the real opposition. A kind of making the game boring. In such situations often so called “momentum” shifts and it as just like this today. Third set was the game on maximal tours and with full fire.
In the meantime Cuevas going to defeat Shapovalov, 7:6, 4:1 right now. Well, the youngest SHBHers must wait.
Updated 10.03.2018. 23:10
BIG MOMENTS IN SLOW MOTION
Updated 11.03.2018, 14:31
!!!!! Time change in Indian Wells !!!
Last night there was changed by 1 hour (daylight saving), so we are now “only” 8 hours behind. This means, matches start now not at 20.00 CET but at 19.00 CET.
Good for those who need to watch second matches of the day – still not too late 🙂
Updated 11.03.2018, 14:41
Dominic plays NB 6.00 pm on Stadium 2 (2.00 am tomorrow our time)
Weather forecast good – nie 25°C at the early evening, the air still not very humid, so about the same as in his first match, only some hours later. Stadium 2 is still a big one but not a monster like CC, fitting better Dominic.
BTW – to those thinking Dominic was not too good against Tsitsipas, look who is out so far: Dimitrov, Zverev, Djokovic, Pouille, Schwartzman (two last after winning ATP500 tournaments in Dubai/Rio – so don’t cry Thiem didn’t won Rio, winners of late tournaments are not doing well here), Isner, Fognini (another fresh tournament’s winner from Sao Paulo), Edmund, Dzumhur, Rublev, Khachanov – all of them good or very good hard court players. Even Federer struggling to overcome Delbonis.
Match prediction: Thiem wins 7:5, 6:3
Some remarks about the game style. The Tsitsipas match was just a perfect display of where Dominic’s hard court game is and how should he play on hard to win, not to learn (what he did in 2017, learning a lot but also losing a lot).
Learning is good, but time goes by, so if Dominic wants to achieve bigger wins this year, not having to wait another 2-3 until he is perfect on every surface, but … he is then 27-28 years old.
I’m observing, how other top clay courters play on hard surfaces with some success. I will limit my remarks to one example – Rafael Nadal.
Nadal is playing still his clay court game with one difference. On hard he starts rallies back behind to have safe returns, still hitting the ball deep and with much spin or lifting the ball so it takes the opponent longer to play it back. This time is used to come closer to the baseline to hit sharper angles and come to the net if the opponent plays a bit short. Then some perfect game at the net is necessary. Nadal has it. Dominic not so bad but not good enough.
Well, Dominic has some advantages compared with Rafa. He can serve lots of aces and winners. So why not to introduce some serve&volley game? Not after every serve, but more often than currently.
To hit from behind the baseline all the rally can be successful but costs a lot of energy. The opponent stays closer and uses the energy of coming balls, saving own energy. The whole energy comes from Thiem. Even with his top fitness he cannot play 5-6 matches in a tournament like this. The prove was just what happened last year on clay. After one big win almost always a bad loss was coming.
In the Tsitsipas match Dominic was starting rallies very close to the baseline. This worked so long Tsitsipas was scared and could not find rhythm. But then in second set Tsitsipas started to hit (with more risk) long balls all the time and come quickly to the net. Dominic was still close to the baseline, but this is not his comfortable position and if under pressure he makes too much errors. Then the third set was just the game I would like to see Dominic to play on hard courts at least this season. This was just very similar to how Nadal plays on hard.
And another important aspect – who becomes hard court specialist a staying close to baseline is his daily business, will never have much success on clay. Even so versatile player as Djokovic could not win more than 1 RG crown, just like Federer. Instead Nadal was able to win more crowns on hard and on grass.
This is the right way for Dominic, if he wants to start with big wins in hard right now but not destroy his best clay game.
Was not meant to be 🙁
Let’s hope for quick recovery or maybe skip Miami to start clay season without issues
Click the image and look for ThiemCuevasIW in the folder to watch the full match record
And here the bad moment in slow motion
Some remarks about the match. Quite good and solid first set. Good enough to win the match. Then the bad moment. Slipping away while approaching the net. Situation did look fully under control. Maybe some slippery place on the court. Nobody to blame for that.
But … during the medical timeout (1 set too late) we could see Dominic’s foot bandaged, probably because of blisters. And here is when everything begins. Having painful blisters you unconsciously put your foot on the ground not with forefoot but rather on the edge, twisting the ankle unnaturally and getting the risk to just what happened at the end of first set.
With the aid Dominic asked for first after second set, he maybe could have save the ankle before pain and overstressing and would be maybe able to close the match in second set (even without the aid he needed, there were still chances for a break) and then have 2 days for recovery.
I’m wondering, why his box did not signal him to do this after the first set.
With pains growing Dominic looked for ways to win points quickly, including serve&volleying, getting close to the chance to win the second set. While this was still desperate, some positive should be taken from the way he did play after the injury. I wrote about this before. Closing points quickly by approaching the net after every good serve (but not an ace) and also after good deep return. Not om every serve(return) to not fall into the pattern and make the opponent easy to read his game. But rather surprising him to get cheap points . Good for the confidence and for the score 🙂
Updated 13.03.2018, 10:33
And look this. I think, the evil started even before the match. Thiem’s right foot (we could see when he was taped after second set) was bandaged, no doubt because of blisters. We don’t know about the other foot, maybe the same.
In this video you can see 3 characteristic things. Rather serious and concerned faces of the three men in the box. Not fitting the good start of the serving game. Then Dominic’s grimaces, showing pain (I guess because of blisters) and unusual hoping after the game was finished – not a happy one, but rather to unload pain.
Updated 13.03, 11:21
I have watched carefully many times this scene in slow motion, added Thiem’s talking about the weird feeling of his foot getting compressed at serve and also some ideas coming from our discussion on the forum.
Now I’m inclined to think, this was a bit different story.
Dominic had blisters on the right foot. They were bandaged before the match. Good, still some help. Maybe the bandage was too tight. But even with bandage you are still running on blisters, so getting pains every time you strike the ground with the feet. It’s some automatism in your body, you can easily test yourself home, if you have something like this. With blisters on feet you are walking using feet positions, in which the pain is a bit smaller. So you start to put your feet unnatural way. It’s still not so bad, if you must can adapt the speed of walking to your condition. But in tennis, like in any performance sport, you cannot. So you start to put your feet on the edge, where you have no blisters. The pain coming from blisters is relieved but your feet are in best position to get twisted.
What we can see in the video is, in some moment the right foot is a kind of “escaping” to the right, looking like lost control over the movement. Fits together with Dominic’s feeling of the foot being compressed at serve.
The right foot (for righty) is at serve the one you use in first phase of the serving movement as a base of a spring you load first, while bending the knee to unload the energy and jump just before hitting.
In this moment the foot (with blister and maybe too tight bandage) was a kind of paralysed for a while (everyone may know, how a numb foot or finger or toe feels like) and he was sprinting without a normal feel in the right foot. I thought first to be some slippery place on court, but this is very improbable on hard court and Dominic is used to slide being a daily business on clay). Now I think, it was just loss of feel and control over the right foot and this was the direct reason for what happened. Probably the ankle was overloaded during this unnatural movement and twisted.
What happened after? Nothing. He got some aid first after second set. Too late.
What should have been done? Take MTO, apply cold (gel compress or something) for some minutes and then repeat on every changeover), tape the ankle (lik it was made but too late), rest a while and continue the game.
It would be just applying the fundamental principle in physiotherapy called P.R.I.C.E. (Protect – Rest – Ice – Compression – Elevation). Only elevation is not possible without retiring from the match. And every such injury includes fast developing inflammation. The best you can do to stop this inflammation to develop is cold and compression.
This is Dominic should learn himself to know what to ask for if something like this happens. And of course his physio, sitting there in the box, should first know this (hard to imagine he does not) and second – tell Dominic to immediately call for MTO. This did not happen 🙁
This has nothing to do with Indian Wells, but … we had just on the blog some hot debate about Dominic’s relation to other players on tour. And this is some nice “postscriptum” to this debate 🙂
Updated 14.03.2018, 13:00
LAST MINUTE NEWS – DOMINIC HAS A MICROCRACK IN THE ANKLE AND MUST HAVE AT LEAST 4 WEEKS BREAK 🙁
Hard to comment, but …
Let’s hope, this hard lesson will be learned. To listen to own body instead of wait for a disaster.
I think, it should be a lesson too for the team.
Dominic can go his way but professionals in his team should take responsibility for their work and tell him – you stop this now or I’m leaving.
Remember faces of Stober, Blanco and Reinprecht at the start of the match, I have compiled in the short video? I’m sure they knew, how it looks like and how it could end.
It’s for sure not like this, that Dominic is not hearing what they say.
They are all old experienced men and their responsibility is greater than Dominic’s.
Sad for him for all possible reasons – and of course for us.
GET WELL SOON, DOMINIC AND LEARN WHAT IS TO LEARN LIKE YOU ALWAYS DO
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